Latest data edition · Nov 3, 2026

The Shrinking Safety: why Michigan, Georgia Tech and UC Irvine are becoming reaches

Acceptance rates at top public flagships have fallen fast. For many applicants, residency and intended major now decide the real odds more than the headline admit rate does.

2–3%Acceptance rate at RSI, versus open admission at pay-to-publish research programs
$4–6MSummer program revenue one university can earn from high school students
+13.1%Growth in Sub-Saharan African students, the fastest-growing sending region to U.S. colleges
~3%MOOC completion rates at MIT and Harvard
Running series · 8 of 12 issues

The Pre-College ROI Project

One framework applied to every way families spend on pre-college activities: what it costs, how selective it is, and what admissions readers actually see.

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Recent data notes

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Nov 3, 2026Roughly 1 in 3,900 science fair entrants reaches ISEF's international stage7 million students enter ISEF-affiliated fairs each year; about 1,800 reach the international fairNov 2, 2026At Georgia Tech, residency more than triples the admit rateGeorgia Tech admit rate for Georgia residents vs. nonresidents, Fall 2025Oct 30, 2026Michigan applications have more than doubled since the Class of 2020University of Michigan first-year applications, Class of 2020 (55,504) to Class of 2030 (115,125)

Full reports

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Aug 21, 2026The Weight of the Lottery: how H-1B policy is redrawing the line between sending countriesVisa bottlenecks and their effect on Indian graduate applicants. ingeniusprep.comApr 24, 2026Resilience by Region: global enrollment shifts and what they mean for selectivityIndia past China, Sub-Saharan Africa growing fastest, Latin America rebuilding. ingeniusprep.comApr 10, 2026IB vs. AP vs. A-Levels: predictive validity and strategic fitWhat IBO, College Board and HESA outcome data say about each credential. ingeniusprep.comApr 3, 2026The Class of 2030 Full Cycle: Ivy Day results and the end of the "soft yes" deferralEarly-round transparency retreats, binding ED at public flagships, a new deferral reality. ingeniusprep.com

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